Damian Miller

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	CHN	MLB	393	34	19	1	9	36	39	91	1	0	3.8	.233	.310	.369	-.121	.231	.310	.372	.240	0.8	103-C 11	3.8
2004	OAK	MLB	440	39	25	0	9	58	39	87	0	1	2.5	.272	.339	.403	-.038	.269	.341	.407	.260	12.0	106-C 11	4.3
2005	MIL	MLB	429	50	25	1	9	43	37	94	0	1	3.7	.273	.340	.413	.029	.270	.339	.418	.262	17.0	103-C 0	3.7

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	399	54	22	1	12	53	41	75	0	1	4.2	.277	.356	.451	.064	.281	.357	.462	.273	21.7	95-C 4	4.2
75^o	341	37	18	1	9	39	32	67	0	1	3.6	.259	.332	.410	-.042	.263	.333	.421	.253	9.8	82-C 2	2.8
60^o	316	31	16	1	7	34	28	63	0	0	3.4	.251	.321	.392	-.089	.254	.322	.402	.243	5.5	77-C 1	2.3
50^o	295	26	15	1	6	30	25	60	0	0	3.2	.244	.312	.377	-.130	.247	.313	.386	.235	2.2	72-C 1	1.9
40^o	282	23	14	1	6	28	23	58	0	0	3.1	.240	.306	.368	-.154	.243	.307	.377	.229	0.5	69-C 0	1.6
25^o	203	11	9	0	3	16	13	44	0	0	2.3	.212	.268	.307	-.317	.215	.269	.315	.191	-7.6	51-C -1	0.4
10^o	152	6	6	0	1	10	8	34	0	0	1.9	.194	.242	.265	-.428	.196	.243	.272	.159	-9.8	40-C -1	0.0
Weighted Mean	291	27	15	1	7	31	26	59	0	0	3.3	.250	.320	.390	-.094	.254	.321	.400	.242	4.1	71-C 1	2.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
13%	29%	36%	41%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 36)	291	27	15	1	7	31	26	59	0	0	3.3	.250	.320	.390	-.094	.254	.321	.400	.242	4.1	71-C 1	2.0
2007 (age 37)	287	25	14	0	5	29	27	56	0	0	3.2	.248	.323	.371	-.115	.252	.324	.380	.239	2.2	70-C -1	1.2
2008 (age 38)	-- out of baseball --
2009 (age 39)	-- out of baseball --
2010 (age 40)	-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	0.3	1.7	2.0	$2,150,000	4.1	3.7
2007	0.2	1.0	1.2	$1,275,000	2.2	2.7
2008	0.0	0.6	0.6	$800,000	0.3	1.4
2009	0.1	0.2	0.3	$550,000	0.8	0.8
2010	0.0	0.1	0.2	$500,000	0.7	0.9
Peak			4.3	$3,375,000	8.2	9.5

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.253	.235	.191	.242
2007	.260	.242	.213	.239
2008	-- out of baseball --
2009	-- out of baseball --
2010	-- out of baseball --

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	41%	0%	13%
2007	54%	34%	4%
2008	84%	54%	6%
2009	93%	83%	3%
2010	97%	90%	3%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

37

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Terry Steinbach	1998	39		11	Phil Masi	1952	29
2	Ray Murray	1954	39		12	Walt Dropo	1959	29
3	Bill Haselman	2003	38		13	Sherm Lollar	1961	28
4	Mike Heath	1991	33		14	Bob Boone	1984	28
5	Ron Hassey	1989	33		15	Rick Cerone	1991	28
6	Don Slaught	1995	33		16	Dan Wilson	2005	28
7	Walker Cooper	1951	30		17	Eric Karros	2004	26
8	Joe Girardi	2001	30		18	Jamie Quirk	1991	25
9	Bob Scheffing	1950	30		19	Jerry McNertney	1973	24
10	Sandy Alomar	2003	30		20	Jeff Reed	1999	24

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