Mike Piazza

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	NYN	MLB	273	37	13	0	11	34	35	40	0	0	3.5	.286	.377	.483	.188	.285	.375	.481	.294	20.6	61-C -7	2.4
2004	NYN	MLB	528	47	21	0	20	54	68	78	0	0	3.1	.266	.362	.444	.098	.263	.359	.441	.277	22.2	58-1B -6	2.5
2005	NYN	MLB	442	41	23	0	19	62	41	67	0	0	3.6	.251	.326	.452	.050	.251	.327	.464	.268	20.0	91-C -8	3.1

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	436	58	21	0	16	64	44	68	0	0	4.0	.271	.348	.456	.053	.281	.357	.491	.280	26.3	104-C -8	3.5
75^o	397	46	19	0	13	53	39	63	0	0	3.6	.257	.334	.427	-.017	.267	.343	.460	.267	16.9	95-C -7	2.6
60^o	384	43	18	0	13	49	38	62	0	0	3.5	.252	.329	.417	-.041	.262	.338	.450	.262	14.0	92-C -7	2.4
50^o	371	39	17	0	12	46	36	60	0	0	3.4	.248	.325	.408	-.065	.257	.333	.439	.257	11.3	89-C -7	2.1
40^o	338	32	15	0	9	38	33	56	0	0	3.1	.235	.312	.382	-.127	.244	.320	.412	.245	5.0	82-C -6	1.5
25^o	284	21	12	0	6	27	27	48	0	0	2.5	.214	.291	.338	-.235	.222	.298	.364	.222	-3.5	69-C -5	0.7
10^o	219	11	9	0	3	16	20	38	0	0	1.9	.187	.263	.282	-.369	.194	.270	.304	.190	-10.2	55-C -4	0.0
Weighted Mean	331	33	15	0	10	41	32	54	0	0	3.4	.247	.324	.406	-.068	.256	.332	.438	.257	10.4	80-C -6	2.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
4%	12%	46%	26%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 37)	331	33	15	0	10	41	32	54	0	0	3.4	.247	.324	.406	-.068	.256	.332	.438	.257	10.4	80-C -6	2.0
2007 (age 38)	250	22	11	0	8	32	23	42	0	0	3.4	.244	.319	.403	-.084	.254	.327	.434	.254	4.8	62-C -5	1.0
2008 (age 39)	-- out of baseball --
2009 (age 40)	-- out of baseball --
2010 (age 41)	-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	0.9	1.0	2.0	$2,100,000	10.4	5.1
2007	0.4	0.6	1.0	$1,050,000	4.8	5.6
2008	0.3	0.2	0.5	$700,000	3.0	2.2
2009	0.1	0.2	0.3	$550,000	1.0	1.1
2010	0.1	0.0	0.1	$450,000	0.6	0.9
Peak			3.8	$2,950,000	19.7	14.9

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.267	.257	.222	.257
2007	.268	.249	.225	.254
2008	-- out of baseball --
2009	-- out of baseball --
2010	-- out of baseball --

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	26%	0%	4%
2007	67%	31%	9%
2008	86%	64%	0%
2009	94%	76%	2%
2010	96%	84%	0%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

40

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Joe Adcock	1965	43		11	Walker Cooper	1952	32
2	Gary Carter	1992	41		12	Elston Howard	1966	31
3	Tony Perez	1980	41		13	Roy Sievers	1964	31
4	Terry Steinbach	1999	38		14	Fred McGriff	2001	30
5	Alan Ashby	1989	38		15	Matt Williams	2003	29
6	Ernie Whitt	1990	35		16	Dante Bichette	2001	27
7	Tim Wallach	1995	35		17	Sherm Lollar	1962	27
8	Bob Watson	1984	34		18	George Hendrick	1987	27
9	Tino Martinez	2005	33		19	Dale Long	1963	26
10	Greg Myers	2004	32		20	Eddie Murray	1993	25

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