Jorge Posada

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	NYA	MLB	588	83	24	0	30	101	93	110	2	4	3.5	.281	.405	.518	.268	.287	.413	.538	.318	54.6	130-C 7	8.3
2004	NYA	MLB	547	72	31	0	21	81	88	92	1	3	3.1	.272	.400	.481	.180	.275	.406	.494	.306	41.4	124-C -2	6.5
2005	NYA	MLB	546	67	23	0	19	71	66	94	1	0	4.5	.262	.352	.430	.047	.267	.367	.449	.283	26.8	122-C -4	4.9

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	518	83	22	1	24	81	78	86	1	1	4.5	.294	.405	.515	.251	.297	.420	.537	.326	53.7	122-C -2	6.9
75^o	476	66	20	1	19	66	68	84	1	1	4.0	.274	.382	.469	.143	.277	.396	.489	.306	36.6	112-C -3	5.3
60^o	464	61	19	1	18	63	65	83	1	1	3.8	.269	.376	.456	.112	.272	.389	.475	.300	32.1	110-C -4	4.8
50^o	455	58	19	1	17	60	63	82	1	1	3.7	.264	.370	.445	.086	.267	.384	.464	.296	28.6	108-C -4	4.5
40^o	437	52	18	1	15	54	59	81	1	1	3.5	.256	.360	.425	.039	.258	.373	.443	.286	22.3	104-C -4	3.9
25^o	429	49	18	0	14	52	57	80	1	1	3.4	.252	.355	.415	.015	.254	.367	.432	.282	19.3	102-C -4	3.6
10^o	405	41	17	0	11	45	52	78	1	1	3.1	.240	.340	.386	-.052	.242	.352	.403	.268	11.4	97-C -5	2.8
Weighted Mean	493	66	20	1	18	68	68	89	1	1	3.9	.266	.372	.448	.094	.268	.385	.467	.297	28.5	116-C -2	4.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
5%	22%	31%	15%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 34)	493	66	20	1	18	68	68	89	1	1	3.9	.266	.372	.448	.094	.268	.385	.467	.297	28.5	116-C -2	4.6
2007 (age 35)	448	55	19	1	14	58	61	78	1	1	3.7	.263	.368	.430	.062	.266	.381	.448	.291	21.3	106-C -5	3.4
2008 (age 36)	336	35	12	0	11	45	44	59	0	1	3.7	.253	.354	.416	.017	.256	.367	.433	.282	10.0	81-C -3	1.9
2009 (age 37)	-- out of baseball --
2010 (age 38)	-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	2.4	2.2	4.6	$7,175,000	28.5	29.3
2007	1.8	1.6	3.4	$4,750,000	21.3	22.3
2008	0.9	1.0	1.9	$2,200,000	10.0	10.7
2009	0.5	0.7	1.2	$1,425,000	6.1	8.2
2010	0.3	0.3	0.6	$900,000	3.9	4.8
Peak			11.8	$14,025,000	69.7	75.3

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.306	.296	.282	.297
2007	.304	.284	.267	.291
2008	.297	.274	.248	.282
2009	-- out of baseball --
2010	-- out of baseball --

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	15%	0%	5%
2007	28%	9%	4%
2008	64%	31%	2%
2009	80%	59%	4%
2010	91%	75%	0%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

29

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Mickey Tettleton	1995	32		11	Jim Hickman	1972	18
2	Alan Ashby	1986	27		12	Bill White	1968	17
3	Ken Singleton	1982	26		13	John Kruk	1995	17
4	Ed Bailey	1966	22		14	Brian Downing	1985	16
5	Darren Daulton	1996	22		15	Tim Salmon	2003	16
6	Aaron Robinson	1950	21		16	Ron Hodges	1984	16
7	Sherm Lollar	1959	19		17	John Vander Wal	2001	16
8	Mike Stanley	1998	19		18	Gary Matthews	1985	14
9	Darrell Porter	1986	18		19	Bill Nicholson	1949	14
10	Joe Ferguson	1981	18		20	Jeff Bagwell	2003	13

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