Ivan Rodriguez

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2006 Forecast | Diagnostics | Five-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2003	FLO	MLB	577	90	36	3	16	85	55	92	10	6	5.6	.297	.369	.474	.189	.301	.371	.487	.291	42.2	127-C 6	7.1
2004	DET	MLB	575	72	32	2	19	86	41	91	7	4	4.6	.334	.383	.510	.260	.340	.391	.526	.308	55.9	118-C -2	6.3
2005	DET	MLB	524	71	33	5	14	50	11	93	7	3	5.9	.276	.290	.444	-.021	.285	.309	.467	.263	18.5	117-C 9	4.8

EQA Distribution

2006 Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	536	83	30	4	22	77	29	88	8	4	5.8	.304	.346	.512	.168	.308	.358	.538	.300	45.6	126-C 2	6.2
75^o	514	74	28	3	20	71	26	85	8	4	5.6	.296	.337	.491	.120	.301	.349	.516	.292	37.6	121-C 2	5.5
60^o	485	64	25	3	16	64	23	81	7	3	5.3	.287	.325	.463	.055	.291	.336	.487	.280	27.7	115-C 1	4.6
50^o	464	56	24	3	14	58	21	78	7	3	5.1	.279	.316	.442	.007	.283	.327	.464	.271	20.8	110-C 1	4.0
40^o	445	50	22	3	12	54	20	75	7	2	4.9	.273	.308	.423	-.037	.276	.319	.444	.263	15.2	106-C 1	3.5
25^o	418	42	20	3	9	48	17	70	7	2	4.6	.263	.297	.395	-.099	.267	.307	.416	.251	7.7	100-C 1	2.7
10^o	369	30	17	2	4	38	13	63	6	1	4.1	.245	.274	.343	-.218	.248	.283	.361	.225	-4.2	89-C 1	1.5
Weighted Mean	478	60	25	3	14	61	22	80	7	3	5.2	.281	.318	.446	.017	.285	.329	.469	.273	21.3	113-C 1	4.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate
4%	32%	39%	15%

Five-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	SPD	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006 (age 34)	478	60	25	3	14	61	22	80	7	3	5.2	.281	.318	.446	.017	.285	.329	.469	.273	21.3	113-C 1	4.0
2007 (age 35)	472	56	25	3	12	60	23	78	7	2	5.0	.278	.314	.430	-.013	.282	.325	.452	.268	14.5	112-C 2	3.0
2008 (age 36)	325	32	16	2	8	39	15	51	3	2	4.8	.269	.306	.420	-.048	.273	.316	.441	.260	7.6	79-C -1	1.8
2009 (age 37)	334	33	16	2	8	41	17	52	4	2	4.6	.273	.311	.416	-.041	.277	.322	.437	.262	5.3	81-C 1	1.3
2010 (age 38)	-- out of baseball --

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2006	1.5	2.5	4.0	$5,725,000	21.3	19.5
2007	1.0	2.0	3.0	$3,950,000	14.5	15.1
2008	0.5	1.3	1.8	$2,025,000	7.6	7.2
2009	0.3	0.9	1.3	$1,500,000	5.3	4.0
2010	0.0	0.5	0.5	$750,000	0.9	2.3
Peak			10.6	$11,625,000	49.6	48.2

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Five-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2006	.292	.271	.251	.273
2007	.280	.261	.242	.268
2008	.270	.253	.231	.260
2009	.276	.255	.242	.262
2010	-- out of baseball --

Five-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2006	15%	0%	4%
2007	35%	13%	3%
2008	60%	27%	0%
2009	72%	49%	0%
2010	86%	56%	2%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

33

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Steve Garvey	1983	39		11	Roberto Kelly	1999	22
2	Terry Steinbach	1996	36		12	George Kell	1957	20
3	Elston Howard	1963	30		13	Carl Furillo	1956	20
4	Manny Sanguillen	1978	28		14	Hubie Brooks	1991	20
5	Mickey Owen	1950	27		15	Al Smith	1962	19
6	Kirby Puckett	1995	27		16	Vada Pinson	1973	18
7	Ted Simmons	1984	26		17	Mariano Duncan	1997	17
8	Andy Pafko	1955	25		18	Bill Madlock	1985	17
9	Bill Skowron	1965	23		19	Vic Power	1962	17
10	Vern Stephens	1955	23		20	Alvin Dark	1956	16

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